Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
2 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 ZHANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
3 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
5 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
6 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 33%
6 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
8 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
9 FU Nolan 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
10 TANG Zheng 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
11 WONG Vansen 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
12 XUE Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
13 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
14 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
15 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
16 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
17 WANG Jiacheng 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
18 JAO Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
19 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 14%
20 GREENMAN Duke 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
21 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
21 LIU Zicheng 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
23 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
24 KIM Julian 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
25 WANG Devin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
26 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 99% 87% 58% 21% 3% -
27 KIM Evan 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 9% 1%
28 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
29 VOO Lucas 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
30 SHOURIE Seth 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
31 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
32 ZENG Oliver 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
33 SU Samuel 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
34 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% < 1%
35 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
36 DING Max 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
37 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
38 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
39 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
40 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
41 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 76% 33% 7% 1%
42 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
43 MA Nolan 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5%
45 SHOURIE Neel 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1%
46 WU MiEr 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% -
47 GORDON David 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
48 DU Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
49 HUA Nolan 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
50 WU Nathan 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
51 LIU Daniel 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
52 LIU Xuyao 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
53 MA Ciel 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
54 MILLER Xavier 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
55 LIU Aiden 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
56 MOSLEY Wally 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
57 BACON Corban 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
58 LIU Yihong 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
59 LIN Daniel 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
60 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
61 SAMIMI Sina 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
62 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 7%
63 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
64 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
65 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44% 4%
66 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
67 HIGGINS Karl 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
68 LI Stephen 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
69 FERRIERE Theo 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% - -
70 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
70 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
72 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
73 SHIH Derek 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
74 GUO Luke 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
75 DENG Destin 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
76 YU Haoyun 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
77 KOU Mason 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
78 MA kevin 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
79 YU Brandon 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
80 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
81 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
82 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
83 AULAKH Eshaan 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
84 THOMPSON Luca 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
85 WONG Aaron 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
86 LEE Davidson 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
87 AZAMOV Samir 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
88 TIAN Dylan 100% 70% 23% 4% - -
89 YOON Jonathan 100% 81% 38% 9% 1%
90 JIANG William 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
91 JIANG Jack 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% -
92 YANG Rony 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% - -
93 ZHAO Luke 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
94 LEE Lucas 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
95 HUR Tyson 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
96 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
97 YOON Ian 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
98 CHU Clayton 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
99 GUO Jonathan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
100 JU Shang 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
101 LI Bryan 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
102 HUNG Ludwig 100% 99% 83% 42% 10% 1%
103 PARK Sean 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% - -
104 ZHANG Zhihan 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
105 MORRIS Blake 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
106 KOU Logan 100% 59% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.