The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 Bama Open

Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 24, 2024 at 10:00 AM

University of Alabama Student Recreation Center - Tuscaloosa, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 GORDON Reis - - - - - - 11% 89%
2 ELLIOTT Wyatt - - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
3 WEBB Jacob - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
3 SOPER Adam - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4% -
5 HUTTO Joshua - - - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
6 PAYNE Gareth - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
7 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
8 JOHNSON Soren 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% - -
9 TUCKER Evan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9% -
10 SUNDQUIST Matthew - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
11 CALINSKY Edward 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
12 KERTESZ Stefan - 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
13 FORD Tillman - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28% 1%
14 WILLIAMS Eli - 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
15 DUNKLIN Devon - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
16 DONG Joshua - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
17 RAY William - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 12%
18 LEE Aaron - 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% -
19 CRAIG Alexander - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 14%
20 PARCELEWICZ John - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
21 PUVALOWSKI Ryan 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
22 ZIELINSKI Alexander 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% - -
23 MACGREGOR Alexander - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
24 TURK Reggie - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
25 BROWN Hannah - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
26 SEATON Jake - 9% 41% 36% 12% 2% -
27 KEMLE Brian - 2% 17% 40% 30% 9% 1%
28 KNOX Aidan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
29 HAYES Zackery 7% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
30 TEGERT Emma 4% 16% 30% 29% 16% 5% 1% -
31 JOHNSON Grady - - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
32 JOHNSTON Jacob 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
33 KARRIEM Zainuddin 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
34 BROWN Matt - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
35 BARRON Grayson - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
36 SIMPSON John 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 4% - -
37 OGLE Bennett 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% - -
38 WILLIAMS Joe 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
39 GAYFORD Zachary - 2% 8% 22% 32% 25% 9% 1%
40 ARNOLD Samuel 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% - -
41 NIST Carter 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% - -
42 STUESSY Nolan 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
43 CARRUTH Mae 23% 58% 17% 2% - - -
44 BACARISSE Nicholas 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
45 HAUSER Samuel 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
46 WENTWORTH Ashley 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
47 PARKER Jordan 1% 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
48 BARRETT John 35% 43% 18% 3% - - - -
49 BENJAMIN John 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1% -
50 BRELAND craig 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
51 FULLER Patrick 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% - -
52 STEELE Alexis 21% 57% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.