Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 24, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
2 WONG Sydney 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
3 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 99% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
5 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
6 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
7 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
8 ROBLES Claudia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
9 ZHAO Yanning 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
10 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
11 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
12 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
13 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
14 WANG Chantal 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
15 TREPANIER Georgina 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
16 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
17 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
18 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
19 KARTHIK Diya 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
20 MOHAN Riya 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
21 WANG Ailly 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% < 1% -
22 YU Chloe 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
23 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
24 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
25 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
26 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
27 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
28 LEE Adelynn 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
29 HE Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
30 BUDMAN Ava 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
31 DAI Mina (Chenxi) 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
32 DEKERMANJI kate 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
33 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
34 CHO Anya 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
35 DU Chloe 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
36 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
37 CHI Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
38 LI Carlie 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
39 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
40 MAENG Gloria 100% 99% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
41 HALE Reagan 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
42 REN Ivanka 100% 90% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
43 MIAO Anthea 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2%
44 ZU Jacqueline 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
45 LU Chloe 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
46 QIAO Lori-Ann 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
47 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
48 CHO Jacey 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
48 CHEN Stephanie 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
50 DU Chelsea 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
51 LICHTENFELD Naomi 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
52 YIP Allison 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
53 SAPLAN Eleanor 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
54 KELLER Mia 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
54 CHAE Avery 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
56 FLYNN Kensington 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
57 DEJOY Leilah 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
58 LI Wan-Tao 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
59 LI Allison 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
60 CHENIER Amelia 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
61 YU Jiaming 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
62 RASHID Summer 100% 99% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
63 VOO Evelyn 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
64 YAN Yuzi 100% 28% 4% - - - -
65 HE Elsa 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
65 PARKE Jaime 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
67 RAPTIS Layla 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
68 YOON Claire 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
69 SUN Joanna 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
70 YANG Emma 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
71 PAK Ella 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
72 WANG Su 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
73 MUKKU Emily 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
74 LIFE Bewinwin 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
74 LI Jessica 100% 24% 2% - - - -
76 LIFE Bellneu 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.