Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 SCOTT Eve 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
3 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
5 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
5 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
7 SPEARS Mya B 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
8 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
9 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
10 HASSAN Aziza R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
11 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
12 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
13 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
14 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
15 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
16 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
17 VINOKUR Anita 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
18 WANG Elysia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
19 LIU Yifei 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
20 LIU Kelly 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
21 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
22 ZHENG Valentina 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
23 CHAVAN Arya 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
24 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
25 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
26 FAN Grace 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8%
27 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
28 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
29 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
30 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
31 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
32 NAYAK Esha 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
33 BARROSO Isabela 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
34 BUSH Bethany 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
35 BROWN Aria 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
36 NEUMAN Ella 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
37 KIM Audrey 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
38 CHI Claire 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
39 ONG Lauren 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
40 NAYAK Antara 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
41 MYAT Chloe 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
42 CROOKS Riley 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
43 ZHANG Sophie 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
44 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
45 KANDADAI Lara 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
46 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
47 PROBASCO Leila 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
48 TU Sadie 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
49 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
50 MACKAY Katherine 100% 95% 55% 17% 3% - -
51 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
52 KHOST Maeve 100% 82% 42% 13% 2% - -
53 DEMING Clare L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 51% 11%
54 GETZONI Mary 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.