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Cadet Men's Foil

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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	RAUTUREAU Hugo	-	-	-	3%	15%	41%	41%
2	LIU William	-	-	-	2%	24%	74%
3	TSAY Jordan R.	-	1%	10%	31%	39%	17%
3	ZHONG Maxwell	-	-	3%	19%	46%	32%
5	LAM Nicolas	-	-	2%	13%	40%	45%
6	FUKUDA Brando	-	-	3%	19%	43%	34%
7	KULKARNI Karan	12%	37%	36%	13%	2%	-
8	SISINNI Leonardo	-	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	4%
9	GORDON William L.	-	1%	5%	21%	38%	29%	6%
10	NISHIHIRA Tyler	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	13%
11	CHUN Dashel	-	3%	16%	37%	35%	9%
12	UPENDER West	-	1%	10%	36%	45%	7%
13	AGRAWAL Niki	-	1%	8%	27%	43%	21%
14	HE Bourne	1%	8%	31%	43%	16%	1%
15	LEHTINEN Axel	4%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%	-
16	WANG Elijah (QiChen)	1%	8%	26%	36%	22%	6%	-
17	WONG Braxton	-	5%	24%	40%	26%	5%
18	SPADA James	1%	7%	29%	39%	20%	3%
19	GUO Joey	3%	29%	40%	22%	5%	-
20	YANG Tate	1%	9%	28%	39%	20%	3%
21	ANDRADE Cedric	7%	30%	39%	20%	4%	-
22	LUK Trusten	9%	31%	37%	19%	4%	-
23	ARCARA Evan	10%	37%	38%	14%	2%	-
24	LEE Christopher	6%	31%	42%	18%	3%	-
25	MARTIN Lucas	16%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
26	HE Ian	-	3%	18%	39%	32%	8%
27	WEI Winston	5%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%	-
28	AGARWAL Savya	12%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-
29	RAFFERTY-FUENTES Patrick	1%	17%	39%	31%	10%	1%
30	LO Ernest	72%	25%	3%	-	-	-
31	DULAI Angad	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-
32	FALLON peter	3%	27%	42%	23%	5%	-
33	YUE Jackson	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	10%
34	BANUELOS Dario	32%	47%	18%	3%	-	-
35	TRUJILLO Jonah	41%	41%	15%	3%	-	-	-
36	BHANOT Arjun	31%	48%	18%	3%	-	-
37	CRIDLAND Trent	45%	41%	13%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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