Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
2 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
3 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 LEE Jason N. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
5 LU Howen 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
6 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 YE Gordon 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
8 LINDEMANN Marc 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
9 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
10 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
11 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
12 MILLER Dillon 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
13 DALBERG Anders 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
14 BONOMO Sebastian J. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
15 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
16 BENTLEY Nick 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
17 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 CENCE Myles K. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 6% 1%
19 WERWA Griffith 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 4%
20 BAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
21 NICOLL William 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
22 BAKSHI Aman 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
23 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
24 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
24 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
26 NICOLL James 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
27 JURMAN Therin 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
28 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
29 SURESH Rohan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
30 BELCHAMBER Mason 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
31 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
32 SHANNON Jack 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
33 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
34 LI Allen 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
35 DONG Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
36 TJON Calum 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
37 TANG Alex 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
38 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
38 GAO Andrew 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
40 HARRA Alexander 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
41 MUNDAHL Brandon 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
42 TAM Kyle 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
43 TANG xianchi 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
44 CHA James 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
45 WUN Jonathan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
46 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
47 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
48 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
49 POWELL Sean 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
49 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
51 GONZALEZ II John L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
52 LI Tristan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
53 RIFFATERRE Jason 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
54 ONIK Ari N. 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
55 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
56 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
57 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
58 GODOVICH David 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
59 MAGAZU Christopher 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
60 JOO Michael 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
61 JENKINS Michael 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
62 HAN Ethan 100% 35% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.