Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, April 1, 2024 at 3:00 PM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRICOL Damian 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
2 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 11%
3 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
5 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 11%
6 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
7 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
8 GRAEHL Ian 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
9 BEKDJANOV Arthur 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
10 SU Kingston 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
11 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
12 VAN ROY Ray 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
13 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
14 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
15 GONZALEZ Mark 100% 98% 83% 43% 9% 1%
16 ALONZO Brennan 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
17 MILLS Conrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 26%
18 LI Ryan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
19 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27% 4%
20 YUE Ivan 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
21 WU Dawei 100% 96% 64% 20% 3% -
22 THOMAS Liam 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
23 KEIM Jackson 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
24 HERNANDEZ Antonio 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
25 TSENG Cooper 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
26 GUO Jonathan 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% - -
27 SUN Tiger 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
28 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 6% -
29 AMEN Oscar 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
30 IRVINE Patrick 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% - -
31 XU Ethan 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% - -
32 BOYCE Elliot 100% 99% 84% 28% 2% -
33 NGUYEN Drake 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
34 YU Joshua 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
35 LOENKO Matvey 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
36 DOMINGUEZ ALEJANDRO JAVIER 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
37 YU Albert 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
38 SUN William 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
39 RAMANISHKA Dzmitry 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
40 AU Elliot 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.