Motor City SYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 25%
3 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
5 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
6 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
6 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
8 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
9 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
10 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
11 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
12 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
13 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
14 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
15 HUANG Chenghan 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% -
16 SUN Henry 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
17 VOLLMER Quintin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 57%
18 HO Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
19 HUANG Holmes (Shengheng) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
20 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 22%
21 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
22 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
23 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
24 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
25 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 3%
26 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
27 LI Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
28 FANG Haoyu 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
29 BERNARD Cohen 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 13%
30 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
31 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 28% 5%
32 LIM-SEIWERT Tristan 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
33 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
34 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
35 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 10% 1%
36 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1%
37 KUANG Cyrus 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
38 FRASER Rhys 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
39 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
40 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
41 HONG Derek 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
42 GUO Austin 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
43 CAO Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
44 WEI JR Shan 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
45 MAZAHERI John 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% -
46 WEI Winston 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
47 LI Andy 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
48 COOK Grant 100% 96% 74% 32% 5% -
49 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 98% 80% 39% 6% -
50 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
51 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 90% 60% 23% 4% - -
52 CHANG Parker 100% 99% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
53 LU Hansen 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
54 WU Rayson siyu 100% 98% 80% 36% 7% 1% -
55 KAGAN Noah 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3% -
56 GOGOI Kavi 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% -
57 ZHAO Jason 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
58 WENGER Rowan 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
59 WANG Caleb 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
60 SUSANTO William 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
61 FEEHAN Conor 100% 63% 15% 1% - - -
62 PAN Ethan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
63 EDWARDS Connor 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
64 GREULICH Nikolas 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
65 NG Kai 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
66 WANG Freyr 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
67 KOLACKI Gabriel 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
68 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 95% 61% 22% 4% - -
68 WENGER Liam 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
70 KIM Andrew 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
71 GOSTRYY Grigory 100% 63% 19% 2% - -
72 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% - -
72 BILLIET Greyson 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
74 ZHENG Lerui 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
75 CHAN William 100% 28% 3% - - - -
76 CHEN Varick 100% 84% 40% 9% 1% -
77 FRASER Alistair 100% 39% 6% - - -
78 RITTER Nathan D. 100% 66% 16% 1% - - -
79 BISHAY Gabriel 100% 96% 65% 21% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.