The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Motor City SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 1:00 PM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Savannah - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
2 CULLIVAN Sienna - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 MCFARLANE Asha - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
3 CHANG Olivia - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
5 PUTHOFF Olivia - - 3% 19% 49% 30%
6 FRASER Morgan - - 4% 22% 48% 25%
7 LIU Ariana - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
8 KNAPP Isabella - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
9 BING Charlotte - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
10 KRAHE Annika - - - 4% 20% 43% 34%
11 WU Maggie Lei - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
12 MUMMANENI Samyuta - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
13 HOROWITZ Shuli - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
14 NWODO Naila - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
15 DONG Iris - - 2% 14% 46% 37%
16 HOM Avery - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
17 WATSON Evelyn - 1% 8% 30% 43% 19%
18 LUO Amira - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
19 YIN Chloe - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 4%
19 JIANG Chloe - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
21 ZHAO Olivia 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
22 FU Pui Lam (Paisley) - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 1%
23 ZHOU Joi - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
24 BOIKE Lucille - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
25 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
26 CHEN Yinuo - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
27 TAO Isabella - - 3% 17% 36% 34% 10%
28 SHAOOLIAN Maya - 1% 9% 30% 42% 17%
29 ESMONDE-WHITE Daphne 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
30 KOU Elisha - 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3%
31 JAZWINSKI Ivy 1% 11% 34% 40% 13% 1%
32 SAMALA Reese - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
33 ZEE Savannah - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
34 MARTIN Sloan - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
35 KIM Gia 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
36 HU Sophie - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
37 MA Sophia - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
38 CHAN Hailey 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
39 RIVERA Leahy - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
40 ZHANG Priscilla - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
41 SUN Nicole 2% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1%
42 HOM Emma 18% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
43 LEO Jenna - 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
44 ZHANG Caroline 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
45 YANG Olivia - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
46 ZOLDAN Nolabelle - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
47 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - 6% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
48 HUANG Natalie - 1% 8% 24% 38% 24% 4%
49 XU Charlene 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
50 KUANG Xiyan 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
51 KIM Audrey 5% 31% 39% 20% 5% -
52 ZHANG Selina 2% 16% 41% 31% 9% 1%
53 LEE Eun-Hae 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
54 CHOI Evelyn - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
55 HUFFMAN Yunia 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
56 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
57 SHAOOLIAN Alexa - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
57 SHI Micah 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
59 LU Miaotian 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
60 KAGAN Natalie 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
61 LIU Sophia 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
62 ZHOU Jolena 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
63 LIN Athena 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
64 KASHUBA Mila 19% 51% 25% 5% - - -
65 LYNCH Kathryn 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1%
66 CULLIVAN Elise - 5% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
67 LIN Claire 36% 48% 14% 2% - - -
68 CHAVEZ Beatrix 16% 47% 30% 7% 1% -
69 KU Amanda 10% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
70 YARLAGADDA Smaya 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
71 KIM Yuna 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
72 PARANJAPE Ojasvi 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
73 EVOLA Samantha 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
74 SAVIOZ Naomi 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
74 WELTER Gemma 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
76 YU Reecy 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
77 BELL Blake 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
78 HUANG Cynthia 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
79 THURSTON Gemma 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
80 JIMÉNEZ PELAY Claudia 65% 30% 5% - - -
81 LEIBERMAN Talia 32% 48% 18% 3% - - -
82 FAROOQI Eliora 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
83 LIN Megan 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
84 MADABHUSHI Diya 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
85 GARRISON Emersyn 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
86 GONG Maggie 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.