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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DENG haoyu	-	-	1%	7%	27%	43%	22%
2	WANG Lucas	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	22%
3	RONG Gordon	-	-	1%	5%	21%	42%	32%
3	GREENMAN Duke	1%	7%	23%	37%	26%	7%
5	DU Evan	-	-	4%	15%	33%	34%	14%
6	XUE Michael	-	1%	10%	32%	41%	16%
7	GACIOCH Noah	-	2%	12%	40%	46%
8	WU Nathan	-	1%	5%	18%	34%	31%	10%
9	DAI Steven (Chengwen)	-	-	4%	15%	32%	34%	14%
10	PARKE Nathaniel	-	-	4%	20%	44%	32%
11	BERTEL Florian	-	4%	16%	31%	31%	15%	3%
12	TOUSSAINT Wizard	-	2%	10%	28%	35%	20%	4%
13	SCHWARTZMAN Ethan	-	5%	18%	33%	29%	13%	2%
14	LEE Lucas	2%	13%	30%	32%	17%	5%	-
15	MOSLEY Wally	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	6%
16	SCHIPPER Johann	7%	30%	41%	20%	3%
17	CHEN Aiden	-	1%	5%	23%	39%	26%	6%
18	LIN Bryan	12%	37%	37%	13%	1%
19	ENG Kyler	-	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
19	HUANG Terrence	-	5%	22%	38%	26%	7%	1%
21	HWANG Matthew	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
22	JAMES Kaden	2%	12%	28%	33%	19%	5%	1%
23	MILLER Xavier	5%	28%	40%	22%	5%	-	-
24	WONG Vansen	1%	8%	24%	33%	24%	9%	1%
25	LI Stephen	1%	6%	22%	35%	26%	9%	1%
26	WONG Alexander	2%	16%	38%	35%	8%
27	LI Grayson	4%	20%	35%	28%	11%	2%	-
28	WONG Kyle	-	2%	10%	27%	36%	21%	4%
29	DENG Destin	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%
30	RONG Marcus	-	5%	22%	40%	26%	6%
31	LIU Aiden	1%	9%	25%	33%	23%	8%	1%
32	TIAN Dylan	29%	44%	22%	5%	-	-
33	SHIH Derek	7%	29%	40%	20%	4%	-
34	SUN Jiarui (Jerry)	21%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-
35	FERRIERE Theo	15%	40%	33%	11%	1%	-
36	KO Ian	2%	13%	30%	32%	18%	5%	1%
37	HUR Tyson	33%	42%	20%	5%	1%	-	-
38	YU Alex	9%	35%	38%	15%	3%	-	-
39	POTHULU Aryaman	-	1%	7%	24%	36%	26%	7%
40	ZHANG Zhihan	30%	44%	21%	4%	-
41	MA kevin	7%	27%	37%	22%	6%	1%
42	LIU Yihong	5%	23%	36%	26%	9%	1%	-
43	FU Benjamin	24%	40%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
44	YANG Rony	43%	42%	13%	2%	-	-	-
45	HUNG Ludwig	32%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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