The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

UMFC Frazzini Open 2024

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 2:00 PM

UMN RecWell North Gym - Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Jerry - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
2 ZHENG Andy - - - 3% 27% 70%
3 VEZMAR Evan - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
3 ROWLAND Marsden - - 2% 16% 45% 31% 6%
5 AGARWAL Adheesh - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
5 TAKATA Ben - - 1% 8% 33% 45% 13%
7 KUNJAN Lena R. - - - 1% 15% 50% 34%
8 ROSTAL Scott - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
9 TAHA Raymond - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
10 BISSEN Quinn - - 2% 14% 40% 35% 9%
11 TOLLEFSON Zachary - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
12 SCHROEDER Karl A. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
12 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
14 OZANNE Jeffrey S. - 4% 22% 43% 26% 4%
15 SIEDOW Jeffrey 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
16 OBERLY Nicholas - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
17 GLENNON Michael - 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 2%
18 NEAS Derek 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
19 BURKHARDT Krista 3% 19% 43% 33% 2% - -
20 DEBLAERE Caecie M. 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
21 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
22 HONEK Kyle - 6% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
23 SHOEMAKER Oliver 16% 38% 33% 12% 1% -
24 TIERNEY Luke 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
25 READ Lyla 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
26 SIEDOW William - 1% 18% 44% 30% 6% -
27 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 2% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
27 EHLERS Justin 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
29 FRALEY Orion 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
30 HICKNER Gabe 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
31 SINGH Sneha 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
32 GOOD Henry 2% 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
33 SCHULTZ David - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
34 HAIRSTON Robert 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
35 STONE Kenneth 14% 39% 34% 11% 1% - -
36 BENGTSON Jasmine 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
37 KARLSON Taylor 49% 42% 8% 1% - - -
37 SLAUGHTER Rowan 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
39 JOHNSON Andrew 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
40 BUENAFLOR Jeffrey P. 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
41 JOHNSON Alexe 3% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.