Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 13%
3 HUANG Dongrong 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
5 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
6 XIE Buster 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 14% 1%
7 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10% -
8 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
9 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 13%
10 TAN Christien 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
11 SONG Austin 100% 100% 99% 85% 39% 6% -
12 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49% 10%
13 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 36% 2%
14 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 84% 43% 9% 1%
15 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63% 16%
15 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
17 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
18 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 75% 30% 4% -
19 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 49% 3%
20 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 11%
21 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 92% 57% 13% -
22 JIANG Bowang 100% 99% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
23 GORDON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
24 HE Kyle 100% 99% 92% 57% 13% 1% -
25 SHI Shenzhi 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51% 2%
26 BLACK Zachary 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3% -
27 BHARGAVA Aayush 100% 97% 72% 29% 5% - -
28 GRIEB Oliver 100% 98% 81% 34% 4% - -
29 WITTIG Jonathon T. 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
30 FREDERICK David R. 100% 99% 89% 42% 8% 1% -
31 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 96% 58% 11% 1% -
32 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 74% 23% 3% - - -
33 SCHWARTZ Douglas 100% 100% 93% 50% 9% 1% -
34 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 98% 78% 37% 7% - -
35 BLAM Aaron 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
36 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano 100% 100% 82% 39% 8% -
37 METZ Mason 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
38 BAYER John P. 100% 99% 84% 44% 10% 1% -
39 SEDGLEY Samuel 100% 75% 15% 1% - - -
40 KRETZER Joseph 100% 14% 1% - - - -
41 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 68% 9% - - - -
42 GODIN Willis 100% 45% 5% - - - -
43 KALAI Joshua 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% 1%
44 MISHRA Kartikaye 100% 5% - - - -
45 CHEN Christopher 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
46 NELKA Brenden 100% 27% 3% - - - -
47 SONI Sumeir 100% 37% 3% - - - -
48 YELOVICH Alan 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.