Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Ayren 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
2 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
3 SURESH Rohan 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
3 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
5 MAK Collin Chun Shing 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 12%
6 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
7 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
8 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
9 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
10 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
11 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 22%
12 AMRANI David 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
13 BAKSHI Aman 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
14 LI Allen 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
15 WANG Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
16 GRANADOS Luis 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
17 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% < 1% -
18 BENTLEY Nick 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
19 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
20 CHESSA Giovanni 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
21 DALBERG Anders 100% 95% 73% 38% 10% 1%
22 DHANOA Kian 100% 97% 74% 26% 3% -
23 MUNDAHL Brandon 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 3%
24 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
24 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
26 XIANG Derrick 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
27 ARUL Girish 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
28 GLEBA Nico 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
29 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
30 MARTIN Mason 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
31 JURMAN Therin 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
32 NADOL Sam 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
33 KENNEDY christo 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
34 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 96% 73% 25% 3%
35 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
36 TANG xianchi 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
37 SABATINO Patrick 100% 79% 30% 4% - -
38 STRAYER Cody 100% 94% 51% 14% 2% -
39 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
40 GALLER Dave 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
41 LINDEMANN Marc 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% 1%
42 RUPP Keegan E. 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
43 LIN Lucas 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% - -
44 MUNDY Ezra 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
45 CRUZ ZURITA Leonardo 100% 88% 43% 10% 1% -
45 BRAWN Gavin 100% 52% 10% 1% - -
47 VOYIAZIAKIS Emanuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
48 MATOS Julian 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
49 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
50 CRESSER Matthew 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
51 MANLAPAZ Jan Vincent 100% 26% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.