Results of Y-10 Women's Épée - Rain City Super Youth Circuit (SYC)

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	XU Amy(Chenyu)	100%	100%	100%	98%	86%	44%
2	CHEN Stephanie	100%	98%	87%	58%	23%	4%
3	CAYETANO Audrey	100%	100%	100%	99%	92%	68%	27%
3	VIJAY Vaishnavi	100%	100%	97%	83%	50%	15%
5	LI Anna	100%	100%	99%	91%	60%	16%
6	WANG Nicole	100%	100%	95%	76%	40%	10%
7	YANG Arianna	100%	96%	78%	46%	16%	3%	-
8	HE Elsa	100%	73%	28%	5%	-	-
9	SUN Milly	100%	100%	99%	91%	68%	33%	7%
10	CHON SUBIN	100%	94%	71%	35%	10%	1%
11	KOU Cynthia	100%	100%	96%	81%	48%	14%
12	WANG Yvonne	100%	97%	81%	46%	15%	2%
13	ARNOLD Evangeline	100%	97%	80%	46%	15%	2%
14	LI Allison	100%	100%	96%	82%	51%	19%	3%
15	YU Chloe	100%	99%	93%	72%	36%	8%
16	XIONG Alice	100%	98%	83%	46%	12%	1%
17	LI Ariel	100%	98%	82%	44%	11%	1%
18	JIANG Ziqing	100%	99%	93%	69%	33%	7%
19	MICHAEL Vella	100%	96%	77%	44%	15%	3%	-
20	SUN Joanna	100%	97%	79%	46%	16%	3%	-
21	REN Harper	100%	79%	36%	8%	1%	-
22	LIU Emma	100%	91%	59%	23%	4%	-
23	YANG Nina	100%	74%	32%	8%	1%	-
24	JIANG Ziqi	100%	84%	48%	16%	3%	-	-
25	YU Elise	100%	78%	38%	11%	2%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.

The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.

The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.

By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Rain City Super Youth Circuit (SYC)

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Probability density of pool victories

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Explanation