Rain City Super Youth Circuit (SYC)

Y-14 Women's Épée

Monday, April 22, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HANKINS Morgan	-	-	5%	22%	44%	28%
2	LIN Ariel	-	-	1%	8%	36%	55%
3	WU Jessica	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	16%
3	CHEN Stephanie	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
5	ABUELFUTUH Sama	-	-	-	1%	12%	41%	45%
6	NGUYEN Renee	-	3%	12%	28%	33%	19%	4%
7	MYRAH Vivienne	-	-	4%	19%	43%	34%
8	SONG Sunny	-	-	3%	17%	43%	36%
9	WU Michelle	-	-	1%	6%	22%	41%	30%
10	LI Azalea	-	1%	8%	29%	41%	21%
11	XU Amy(Chenyu)	-	4%	18%	38%	32%	8%
12	MOHAN Riya	1%	11%	33%	37%	16%	2%
13	JAQUISH Zoey	10%	31%	36%	19%	4%	-
14	KUTSY Olga	-	5%	22%	39%	27%	6%
15	MERRIMAN Rie	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
16	LEE Kaitlyn	2%	11%	27%	33%	21%	6%	1%
17	HE Anna	1%	8%	30%	42%	17%	2%
18	KOU Cynthia	-	3%	18%	41%	30%	8%	1%
19	LEE Yeriel	-	-	1%	10%	35%	41%	12%
20	XU Jessica	-	-	4%	23%	42%	25%	4%
21	ZHAO Emma	4%	25%	39%	25%	7%	1%
22	CHI Zoe	2%	15%	36%	33%	12%	1%
23	KARTHIK Diya	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-
24	ZHAO Yanning	1%	5%	18%	32%	29%	12%	2%
25	FISCHBEIN Quinley	-	4%	20%	40%	29%	7%
26	GUAN Isabella	-	3%	13%	34%	37%	13%
27	FU Ella	3%	20%	39%	29%	9%	1%
28	MIYOSHI Kylie	6%	31%	39%	20%	4%	-
29	REED Katya	5%	26%	39%	24%	6%	1%
30	ZHAO Ellie	4%	19%	33%	28%	13%	3%	-
31	CHEN Julia Z.	7%	26%	38%	23%	6%	-
32	CHANG Allison	43%	41%	14%	2%	-	-
33	WANG Chantal	12%	37%	36%	13%	2%	-
34	WANG Olivia	6%	32%	40%	18%	3%	-
35	CHO Jacey	11%	38%	37%	12%	1%	-	-
36	MIXON Ivory	44%	40%	14%	2%	-	-
37	YAKOUT Jasmine	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-
38	KOHLI Tanvi	7%	30%	39%	20%	5%	-
39	WANG Ailly	33%	45%	19%	3%	-	-	-
40	MAENG Gloria	8%	26%	34%	23%	8%	1%	-
41	YAN Ximei (Alicia)	8%	27%	34%	22%	7%	1%	-
42	HAN Sydney	3%	18%	37%	32%	11%	1%
43	YOUN Kylie	13%	41%	36%	10%	1%	-	-
44	GARCIA Sophia Noelle	51%	38%	10%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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