Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 9:30 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
2 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 7%
3 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
3 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
5 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 72%
6 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 17%
7 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
8 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
9 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
10 STEWART Robert 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
11 ROBERTS Peter 100% 100% 95% 57% 15% 1% -
12 LICHTEN Keith H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
13 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1%
14 HARGROVE Charles 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
15 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
16 PENGELLY Neil 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3% -
17 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
18 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
19 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
20 HUNTER Justin 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
21 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
22 SUPONYA Sergey 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
23 SPRINGER Michael 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
24 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
25 LE DEVEHAT Yannick 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
26 GREENBAUM Isaac 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
27 SPEICHER Eric V. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
28 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
29 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 92% 54% 17% 2% -
30 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 99% 80% 35% 4% -
31 WILSON Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
32 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
33 GERSEN Jacob 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
34 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
35 EXUM Travis H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 16%
36 NEMAZIE David A. 100% 100% 99% 82% 38% 5% -
37 OKURA Ethan R. 100% 95% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
38 GREGORY Dean 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
39 EDWARDS Tim 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
40 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
41 GATES Darcy C. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
42 KUO Michael 100% 37% 6% - - - -
43 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 90% 22% 2% - - -
44 ROGERS John D. 100% 15% - - - - -
45 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
46 LOGUE Paul 100% 41% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.