Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Veteran Men's Épée

Friday, April 26, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
2 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
3 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
3 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
5 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
6 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
7 SUPONYA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
8 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
9 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
10 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
11 CHANDLER Paul F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
12 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
13 PHO Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
14 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
15 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 91% 64% 26% 4%
16 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
17 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
18 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
19 TAYLOR Daryl J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
20 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
21 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
21 LOEFFLER Carl E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
23 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
24 SCHINDLER Sergey M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
25 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
26 SUVEG Bela 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
27 HARGROVE Charles 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 14% 1%
28 GREENBAUM Isaac 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
29 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 2%
30 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
31 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
32 LIN Kimball 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% 1%
33 SPRINGER Michael 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
34 STOCK Jordan 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
35 PENGELLY Neil 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 3%
36 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
37 LYTLE Evan 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
38 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
39 JOHNSON Jeff 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 21% 1%
40 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
41 DEPOMMIER Remi 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
42 LE DEVEHAT Yannick 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
43 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
44 JUGAN Bruce M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
45 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
46 GATES Darcy C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
47 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
48 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
49 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
50 FANGMAN Daniel L. 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2%
51 ROBERTS Peter 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
52 OKURA Ethan R. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
53 RESS Michael A. 100% 100% 97% 73% 31% 6% -
54 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
55 MCNALLY Thomas J. 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
56 HUNTER Justin 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
57 SHULL Marc 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
58 MARSH Timothy G. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
59 GREGORY Dean 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
60 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
61 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 67% 13% 1% - - -
62 GERSEN Jacob 100% 99% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
63 SLOAN Ryan 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
64 PIERRO Roger 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
65 ROUSE Joe T. 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% -
66 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
67 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% -
68 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
69 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
70 MORET Eric N. 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
71 KIM Jeff 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
72 CAFASSO martin 100% 93% 57% 20% 4% - -
73 FRANK Fred 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
74 FLINT James E. 100% 98% 79% 43% 12% 1%
75 SCHNEIDER Charles (Charlie) J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
76 MASE James B. 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%
77 BECK Brian C. 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
78 JENSEN David 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
79 HVIDING Ketil 100% 75% 29% 4% - - -
80 SPEICHER Eric V. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
81 FRANGER Jeff 100% 87% 27% 3% - - -
82 SWANN William A. 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% - -
83 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
83 KRUGER Mark 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
85 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
86 LEONARDINI Barry M. 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
87 NEWSOME James L. 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
88 SCOTT George R. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
89 MCTIGUE J. Michael 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
90 LOGUE Paul 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
91 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
92 SCHWARY Irv 100% 99% 60% 18% 3% - -
93 BLAKLEY Dwain 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
94 ELLINGTON Jeff B. 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
95 KUO Michael 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
96 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 87% 48% 11% 1% - -
97 STAFURIK John (Jack) W. 100% 78% 33% 5% - - -
98 CARTER Tony 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% -
98 POWELL Troy 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
100 BARANOWSKI Philip 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
101 NEALE James H. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2%
102 TOMASI John 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
103 SILKEY Jason 100% 51% 7% - - - -
103 REED David 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
105 ROGERS John D. 100% 23% 1% - - - -
106 GALLIVAN James 100% 4% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.