Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HOM Avery | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 2 | EVANS Desmond | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | CHAN Ella | V V V V V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| 3 | DING Sam | D V V D D | V V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 5 | GUO Joey | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 6 | LI Aaron | V V V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 7 | HSU Rachel | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 8 | CHEN Ryker | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 10 | LI Jake | V V D D V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 11 | LEONG Wilson Hua | D V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 12 | SAH Madeleine | V V D V D D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 13 | LI Lief | V V D D V D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 14 | JUE Lucas | D D V D V V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 15 | CANTU Gabriel | V D V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 16 | YU Jinyuan | V V D D D | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 17 | KO Ian | V V D V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 18 | KIM Parker | V V V V D D | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | ZHAN Catherine | V D D V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 20 | MCLANAHAN Jasmine | D V V V V D | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 21 | LIN Avery | V D V V V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 22 | THOTA Akira | D D V V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 23 | YU Xintong | V D D V D V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 24 | JOESUF Thea | V D D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 25 | LUO Derren | D D V V D | V D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 26 | ZHANG Katie Qingyun | D D D D V V | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 27 | JIN Jada Y | D V V D D D | V | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 28 | JOESUF Aurielle | V D V D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 29 | LIU Mia | V D D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 30 | SRIDHARA Shaan | V D D D D V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 31 | WANG Ellen | D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 32 | YU-TAN Claire | D V D D D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 33 | GU Evan | D D D V V D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 34 | HONDA Emi | V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 35 | VIZCARRA Nathan | V D D D D D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 | |
| 35 | LIN Dylan | D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 37 | SCHOR William | D D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 38 | WANG Andrew | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 39 | YAN Aaron | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 40 | JUSON Julianne Lauren | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.