National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Women's Foil

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
2 SUN Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 AYUPOVA AMELIYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
5 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 14%
6 HO Addison 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 12%
7 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
8 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
10 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
11 MU Allison 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
12 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
13 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
14 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
15 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
16 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
17 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 5%
18 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% < 1%
19 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
20 LIU Samantha 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
21 KAPOOR Saanvi 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
22 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
23 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
24 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
25 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
26 CHOI Kailyn 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
27 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
28 CUI alivia 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
29 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
30 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
31 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
32 GOEL Riyana 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
33 JOHNSON Shelby 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
34 CANNON Lira J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
35 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
36 DO Leila 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
36 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
38 LUH Mia P. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
39 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
40 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
41 BABIAC Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
42 WANG Sophia 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
43 HOBSON Ava 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
44 LI Katerina 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 1%
45 YU Jane 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
46 LEE Allison 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
47 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
48 WEI Angela 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
49 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
50 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
51 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
52 PENG Charlotte 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
53 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
54 MUHAMMAD Auset 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
55 LEE emily 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
56 OLSEN Jen 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
57 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
58 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
59 FRANK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 13%
60 LI Grace 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
61 CAO Kayla 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
62 GREEN Marisa 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
63 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
64 ZHENG Zoe 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
65 TAYLOR Gabby 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
66 YUEN Elsie 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
67 NEUMAN Sophie 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
68 WANG Celine S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
69 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 98% 82% 41% 11% 2% -
70 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 6%
71 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
72 XIE Su 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
73 KANESHIGE Christina Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
74 KETTELLE Molly 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
75 MALONE Ella 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
76 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
77 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
77 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
79 LIU Elinda 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
80 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
81 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
82 LEVY Avery 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
83 DESAI Esha 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11% 1%
84 LIU Emily 100% 97% 72% 29% 5% - -
85 FELLMAN Sara 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
86 SULTER Aurelie 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
87 COKER Bettina M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
88 LAZAR Carolina 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
89 SHICK Veronika 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
90 WEISS Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
91 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
92 MUSTO Isabella 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
93 SWOPE Farren 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
94 RYDMAN Grace 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
95 QUINN Anna 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
95 BABER Eshaal 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 4% -
95 KIM Claire 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
98 ALKADI Mai 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
99 FAGAN Margaret 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
100 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 99% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
101 BASSIK Eva 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
102 PEDERSEN Clara 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
103 HUANG Sophie 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
104 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
105 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
105 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
107 LEE Alice 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
108 CAMPBELL June 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
109 LIU Kiki 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
110 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
111 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
112 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
113 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
114 MIRZA Sophia 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
115 OWEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
116 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
116 HILL Lydia 100% 96% 71% 31% 8% 1% -
118 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
119 WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy) 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
120 TAMIR Esu 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
121 HWANG Chanel 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
122 KATS Ekaterina 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
123 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 81% 31% 5% - - -
123 KANG Marian 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
125 ARMSTRONG Olivia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
126 LANDMAN Charlotte 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
127 KIM Erin 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
128 SELSER Ella 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
129 SHELTON Olivia 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
130 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 99% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
131 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
131 LAU Elena 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
133 BALCE Cyril 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
134 LAO Sophia 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
135 COLLINS Anna 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
136 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
137 KO Darby 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
138 LEE Allison 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
139 BROSNAN Lily 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
140 LIU Grace 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
141 LYON Claire 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
142 UHRICH Reese 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
143 BULLARD Sydney 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
144 SINGH Sania 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
145 MCKAY Teresa 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
146 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
147 MORSE Katherine 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
148 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% - -
149 LEMASTERS Elise M. 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
150 RUSSELL Judith F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
150 JACOB Norah 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
152 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
152 WU Lorena 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
154 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
155 REIFF Mathilda 100% 64% 19% 2% - - -
156 LATIFI Fara 100% 94% 59% 18% 3% - -
157 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
158 LEWIS Rachel 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
159 SAUCEDO Fernanda 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
159 CLARK Lillian 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
161 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
162 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
162 HAN Katherine 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
164 BABB Cicely 100% 75% 27% 4% - - -
165 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
166 MOORE Addisyn 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
167 WOJCIK Lucyna 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
168 GADIYARAM Sushama 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
168 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% - -
170 CHU Felicity 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
171 BROWNING Ruby 100% 35% 5% - - - -
172 HAZEL Susan L. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
173 DESAI Kanushi 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
174 LUNEAU Isabel 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
174 JOHNSON Maya 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
174 GOLDBERG Amanda 100% 93% 58% 20% 4% - -
177 BIENSTOCK Alexis 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
177 WANG Kelsey 100% 28% 3% - - - -
179 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.