National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Gloria Ruoyan - - - 4% 20% 44% 33%
2 KIM Satie - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
3 COLTER Aurora - - 3% 14% 35% 35% 12%
3 CHIANG Melissa - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
5 GOLOVITSER Maya - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
6 SIDDIQUI Reem - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 14%
7 KANDADAI Lara 1% 7% 26% 37% 22% 6% 1%
8 TAN Adelyn - 1% 8% 33% 44% 15%
9 BROWN Aria - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
10 LEE Lauren - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
11 NAIR Supriya - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
12 BIRNSTILL Reese - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
13 HUA Catherine W. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
13 REAVIS Isabel 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
15 MCGRAW Sadie 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
16 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
17 WUNNAVA Ellora - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
18 LITTLE Avery - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
19 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
20 COLBY Mercer - 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4%
20 MYAT Chloe - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
22 DEHON Inès - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
23 MONTORIO Lily M. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
23 LUKER Sophia - - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
25 DUDNICK Morgan - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
26 SPEARS Mya B - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
27 CHI Claire - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
28 MCSWEENEY Kylie - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
29 GRAJALES Hannah E. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
30 STONE Coral - 4% 25% 42% 25% 4%
31 JEFFORDS Sophia 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
32 MACKAY Katherine - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
33 YAM Danika - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
34 STADNIK Emilia 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% < 1%
35 STAPLETON Lindsay K. - - - 1% 10% 46% 43%
36 SADANI Jyotika 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
37 PRESANTH Nandana - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
38 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
39 FLEEGER Sophia 4% 32% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
40 NI Sharon - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
41 ISBERG Natalie - 2% 16% 43% 32% 6%
42 XU Emily T. 2% 12% 31% 36% 18% 3%
43 SEAL Cameron I. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
44 CHURA Annika S. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
44 NAYAK Antara 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
46 BARCZAY Sara E. 8% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
46 SHELLEY Scarlett - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
48 BLAKE Anna - 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
49 CHEN Elaine - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
50 SEBASTIAN Ava 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
51 HAN Emma - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
52 BARROSO Isabela - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
53 WANG Jiayi 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
54 MATSUO Kei - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
55 ZHAI AMY - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
56 NAYAK Esha - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
56 GOSAVI Aabolee 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
58 NAYAK Anika 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
59 KANG Soeun 26% 46% 22% 4% - -
60 CHEN Kevy - 3% 24% 42% 26% 5%
61 ZHANG Sophie - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
62 FENG Alicia G. - 1% 6% 23% 41% 27% 2%
63 KIRBY Skye 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
64 WONG Cerise 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
65 ZAWADA Milena 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
66 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
67 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
68 KHOST Maeve 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
69 BUSH Bethany - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
70 ADAMS Morrigan B. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
71 HITOMI Nadya - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 12%
72 DEVASIA Nisha - - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
73 HOLMES Sabrina 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
74 XU Kaylyn - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
75 BROWNER June 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
75 WONG Charlene 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
75 MAROSFOI Virag 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
78 NEUMAN Ella - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
79 TESTROET Aubrey - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
80 LIAO Siwen - - 2% 17% 43% 38%
81 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
82 SCHOEW Margot 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
83 CARLUCCI Laura A. - 2% 18% 40% 32% 8%
84 LUKER Hannah - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
84 ONG Lauren 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 7% -
86 LABRECQUE Savannah 8% 26% 35% 22% 8% 1% -
87 ZHENG Valentina - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
88 EDWARDS Darby - - 1% 5% 23% 46% 25%
89 BENT Sarah 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
89 DEMARIA Lauren - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
91 LOURENCO Alexandra - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
92 ASPIRAS Avery 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
93 WAY Samantha - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
94 NGUYEN Madeleine 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
95 SANTOS Charlize 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
96 MOON Claire 1% 6% 23% 39% 25% 6% 1%
97 CAO arissa 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
98 LI Miranda 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
99 XIE Nora 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
100 BARNES Sarah 24% 54% 19% 2% - -
101 PADANILAM Lily 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
102 LU QIWEN 54% 39% 6% - - -
103 HANLON Lucy 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
104 WALKER Terra - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
104 MAK Kaitlin - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
106 CHAMI Lana 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
107 IREGUI Sofia 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
108 BAINS Nandini - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
109 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
110 SUHALIM Maree 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
111 SENTHIL Tejas 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
112 DESAUTELS Alexandra 23% 46% 27% 5% - -
113 YUAN Vienna 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
114 ASHTIANI Shaya 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
114 KITSON Sasha 28% 46% 22% 3% - -
116 IYER Arushi 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
117 BABBITT Kayla 9% 34% 41% 14% 2% -
118 PETTIT Sara M. - < 1% 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
119 SCHOON REBECCA 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
120 BANGALORE Shriya 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
121 WALLER London 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3% -
122 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
122 SNOAD Indy 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
124 HENRY Erin 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
125 CHANG Julia 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
126 HARRISON Allie 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
127 LAGOON Miriam 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
128 ALDORT Amanda 3% 18% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
129 NEWMARK Ellie 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
129 BRODERICK Kylin - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
131 SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara - < 1% 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
132 GLUCK Myriam - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
132 MURRAY Audrey A. - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
134 FINN Lucy 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
135 RIVERS Mikhala 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
136 SAMPATH Medha 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
136 KHAN Ayah 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
138 NARAYANAN Sinduja 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
139 REYNOLDS CHANG Anna 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
140 TAMARO Allie 4% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
141 BAROUCH Susanna 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
142 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
143 FEITLER Sarah < 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
144 WEINSTEIN Hannah 15% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
145 VILD Grace 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
145 MOHAMED Siham 74% 23% 3% - - - -
147 EGAN Caroline 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
148 WILFRET Katerina 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
149 TOWNLEY BAKEWELL Evvia 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.