National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
2 KIM Satie 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4%
3 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
3 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
5 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
6 SIDDIQUI Reem 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
7 KANDADAI Lara 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% 1%
8 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 15%
9 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 10%
10 LEE Lauren 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
11 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
12 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
13 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
13 REAVIS Isabel 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
15 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
16 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
17 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
18 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
19 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
20 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
20 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
22 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
23 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
23 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
25 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
26 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
27 CHI Claire 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
28 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
29 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
30 STONE Coral 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 4%
31 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
32 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
33 YAM Danika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
34 STADNIK Emilia 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% < 1%
35 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 43%
36 SADANI Jyotika 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
37 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
38 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
39 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 96% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
40 NI Sharon 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
41 ISBERG Natalie 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 6%
42 XU Emily T. 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
43 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
44 CHURA Annika S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
44 NAYAK Antara 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
46 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
46 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
48 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
49 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
50 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
51 HAN Emma 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
52 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
53 WANG Jiayi 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
54 MATSUO Kei 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
55 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
56 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
56 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
58 NAYAK Anika 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
59 KANG Soeun 100% 74% 27% 5% - -
60 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 5%
61 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
62 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29% 2%
63 KIRBY Skye 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
64 WONG Cerise 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
65 ZAWADA Milena 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
66 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
67 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
68 KHOST Maeve 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
69 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
70 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
71 HITOMI Nadya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
72 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
73 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
74 XU Kaylyn 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
75 BROWNER June 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
75 WONG Charlene 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
75 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
78 NEUMAN Ella 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
79 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
80 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
81 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
82 SCHOEW Margot 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
83 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
84 LUKER Hannah 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
84 ONG Lauren 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% -
86 LABRECQUE Savannah 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
87 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
88 EDWARDS Darby 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 25%
89 BENT Sarah 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
89 DEMARIA Lauren 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
91 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
92 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
93 WAY Samantha 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
94 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
95 SANTOS Charlize 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
96 MOON Claire 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 7% 1%
97 CAO arissa 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
98 LI Miranda 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
99 XIE Nora 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
100 BARNES Sarah 100% 76% 21% 3% - -
101 PADANILAM Lily 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
102 LU QIWEN 100% 46% 7% - - -
103 HANLON Lucy 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
104 WALKER Terra 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
104 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
106 CHAMI Lana 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
107 IREGUI Sofia 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
108 BAINS Nandini 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
109 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
110 SUHALIM Maree 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
111 SENTHIL Tejas 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
112 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 77% 32% 5% - -
113 YUAN Vienna 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
114 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
114 KITSON Sasha 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
116 IYER Arushi 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
117 BABBITT Kayla 100% 91% 57% 16% 2% -
118 PETTIT Sara M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
119 SCHOON REBECCA 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
120 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
121 WALLER London 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
122 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
122 SNOAD Indy 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
124 HENRY Erin 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
125 CHANG Julia 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
126 HARRISON Allie 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
127 LAGOON Miriam 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
128 ALDORT Amanda 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
129 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
129 BRODERICK Kylin 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
131 SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
132 GLUCK Myriam 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
132 MURRAY Audrey A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
134 FINN Lucy 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
135 RIVERS Mikhala 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
136 SAMPATH Medha 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
136 KHAN Ayah 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
138 NARAYANAN Sinduja 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
139 REYNOLDS CHANG Anna 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
140 TAMARO Allie 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
141 BAROUCH Susanna 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
142 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
143 FEITLER Sarah 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
144 WEINSTEIN Hannah 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
145 VILD Grace 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
145 MOHAMED Siham 100% 26% 3% - - - -
147 EGAN Caroline 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
148 WILFRET Katerina 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
149 TOWNLEY BAKEWELL Evvia 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.