2024 Bluegrass State Games

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 3, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Louisville Fencing Center - Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TURNER Joshua - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
2 MARTIN Dirk - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
3 EDWARDS Tim - - - 5% 29% 54% 12%
3 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
5 REDEMANN Shawn - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
6 SAYLER Gordon - - 4% 22% 46% 24% 4%
7 BIDWELL Christopher A. - 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
8 REEN Stephen - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
9 BOTNER Olivia - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
10 HE Lingyun Matthew 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
11 BELLINI Niccolo 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
12 MASSIE Jay Thomas 1% 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
13 MCNARY Sean 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
14 FISHER Stephen A. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
15 FAENOVA Alexandra 45% 44% 10% 1% - - -
16 TURNER Jackson - 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
17 MCNARY Ross 1% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1% -
18 BATES Madison 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
19 CRAFT David M. 3% 23% 42% 26% 6% - -
20 DURR Anna 68% 27% 4% - - - -
21 CHOUINARD Guy 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.