2024 Bluegrass State Games

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 3, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Louisville Fencing Center - Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 MARTIN Dirk 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
3 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 12%
3 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
5 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
6 SAYLER Gordon 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27% 4%
7 BIDWELL Christopher A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
8 REEN Stephen 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
9 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
10 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
11 BELLINI Niccolo 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
12 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 99% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
13 MCNARY Sean 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
14 FISHER Stephen A. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
15 FAENOVA Alexandra 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
16 TURNER Jackson 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
17 MCNARY Ross 100% 99% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
18 BATES Madison 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
19 CRAFT David M. 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% - -
20 DURR Anna 100% 32% 5% - - - -
21 CHOUINARD Guy 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.