Event Preview
Junior Olympics + January NACFriday, January 8, 2027 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3207 | 3470 - 3091 |
| 5 - 8 | 3008 | 3050 - 2971 |
| 9 - 16 | 2858 | 2925 - 2769 |
| 17 - 32 | 2632 | 2748 - 2548 |
| 33 - 64 | 2421 | 2535 - 2308 |
| 65 - 128 | 2067 | 2330 - 1835 |
| 129 - 161 | 1635 | 1872 - 755 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.