Event Preview
Junior Olympics + January NACSunday, January 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2974 | 3171 - 2769 |
| 5 - 8 | 2666 | 2718 - 2617 |
| 9 - 16 | 2545 | 2592 - 2507 |
| 17 - 32 | 2434 | 2490 - 2375 |
| 33 - 64 | 2248 | 2394 - 2112 |
| 65 - 128 | 1871 | 2121 - 1585 |
| 129 - 164 | 1384 | 2364 - 723 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.