Trick or Retreat ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 4:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANESCU Miron - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
2 WANG Michael - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
3 CIEMINS Henry - 2% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
3 PORTER Dupree - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
5 STAMIS Kyle - - - 3% 16% 43% 39%
6 SUN Andrew - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
7 RAMIREZ Nicholas - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
8 WU Timothy - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
9 CHENG Brandon - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
10 WOLMART Zander 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
11 NAYAGAM Nishant 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
12 MARGULIS Jared - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
13 MATTINGLY Ian 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
14 LOSQUADRO Joseph 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
15 SCHIMEL Luke 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
16 COPP-SALKO Max (Robert Maxwell) 1% 12% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
17 WONG Caleb W. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
18 HOWE Brandon - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
19 GONG Alex - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
20 SUN Andy - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
21 LEHMAN Matthew 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
22 LAZARTE Gabriel 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
23 NOVOJILOV Daniel 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
24 LIEU Nicholas 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
25 YANG Byron 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
26 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 68% 28% 4% - - - -
27 COBITZ Harrison 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
28 MITCHELL Eric A. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.