Trick or Retreat ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 4:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANESCU Miron 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
2 WANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
3 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
3 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
5 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
6 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
7 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
8 WU Timothy 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
9 CHENG Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
10 WOLMART Zander 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
11 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
12 MARGULIS Jared 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
13 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
14 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 98% 81% 42% 12% 1% -
15 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
16 COPP-SALKO Max (Robert Maxwell) 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
17 WONG Caleb W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
18 HOWE Brandon 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
19 GONG Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
20 SUN Andy 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
21 LEHMAN Matthew 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
22 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
23 NOVOJILOV Daniel 100% 57% 16% 3% - - -
24 LIEU Nicholas 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
25 YANG Byron 100% 91% 55% 19% 4% - -
26 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 100% 32% 4% - - - -
27 COBITZ Harrison 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
28 MITCHELL Eric A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.