Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
2 LI Toby 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
3 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
5 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 9%
6 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
7 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
8 SOTO Ulises G 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
9 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
10 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
10 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
12 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
13 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8% -
14 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
15 LO Preston 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
16 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
17 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
18 PINCHENG Yao 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
19 LI Richard 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
20 LIN Xilong 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
21 LIU William 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
22 WONG Evan 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
23 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
24 PONS Diego 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
25 LEE Christopher T. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
26 CHAN Ian 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
27 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
28 CHOI Ethan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
29 MARÍN MANRÍQUEZ Ángel Fernando 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
30 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
31 WU Lucas 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
32 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
33 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
34 MA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
35 CURIOSO Wilfred 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
36 LING Carson Jr 100% 99% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
37 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
38 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
39 PARK Sky 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
40 BIELER Mason 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
41 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
42 PETERSON Lucas 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
43 LI Matthew 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
44 BORG Matthew 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
45 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 18%
46 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
47 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 9% 1%
48 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
49 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 5%
49 BI Ryan 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
51 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
52 LAM Nicolas 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% -
53 GORDON William L. 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
54 LI Samuel 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
55 PARK Rion 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
56 PETROV Mikhail 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
57 BROWN Darius D. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
58 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
59 EDISON Ansel 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
60 TULYAG Azim 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
61 CHANG Nathan 100% 97% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
62 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
63 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
64 KIM Jonah 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
65 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 95% 60% 19% 3% - -
65 OH Justin 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
67 CAJERO Luis O. 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
68 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
69 KIM Teo 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% - -
70 BHANOT Arjun 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
71 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
72 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
73 KISSINGFORD John F. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
74 GUO Hairuo 100% 96% 71% 27% 5% - -
75 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
76 HE Bourne 100% 30% 3% - - - -
76 IDOLYANTES Charwin 100% 37% 6% - - - -
76 BECKER Ethan 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
79 CHIN MinSeop 100% 21% 2% - - - -
80 WONG Braxton 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
81 TSATURYAN Simon 100% 32% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.