Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
3 RAO Sonia D. 100% 100% 100% 92% 58% 15%
3 WU Nicole Moxuan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
5 TAYLOR Gabrielle 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 18% 2%
6 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
7 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
8 CUI alivia 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 5%
9 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
10 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
11 HOBSON Ava 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
12 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
13 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
14 DO Leila 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
15 LIU Ariana 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
16 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 8% -
17 SPOHN Mary S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
18 LEE Allison 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
19 HUGHES Olivia 100% 93% 63% 25% 4% -
20 CHOI Kailyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 15%
21 GOEL Riyana 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
22 MING YUE 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2%
23 TULYAG Sayda 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
24 ZONG Melody 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
25 WANG Celine S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
26 LI Chelsea 100% 79% 28% 3% - -
27 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
28 ZHU Yunyao 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
29 SEAL Ayda 100% 51% 9% - - -
30 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 97% 73% 24% 3% -
31 JACOB Norah 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
32 LIN Allison 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -
33 CHEN Jingyun 100% 89% 42% 9% 1% -
34 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
35 TAN Shouyin 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
36 TAI Taphanie 100% 30% 2% - - -
37 CHANG Janelle 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
38 SUN Rose 100% 95% 57% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.