Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Royce 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
2 LEE Damien 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16% 2%
3 DENISON Declan 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
3 WONG Preston 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
5 MCLAREN Mason 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
6 HINTON Evan 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
7 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
8 WAGEMANN Nathan M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
9 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
10 VENET Téva 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
11 NEICE William 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
12 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
13 PRAKASH Hari 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
14 MILEY Walker 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 10%
15 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
16 CHARETTE Alex 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
17 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
18 URCIOLI Phenix 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
19 LITTLE Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
20 MILIN James 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
21 MUENKE Magnus 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
22 THEIS Sean 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
23 MANDEL Christian 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
24 YOUNG Quentin 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
25 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
25 ZHANG Austin 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
27 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
28 KIM Tristan 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
29 DIAZ Valentino 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
30 BROWN Korbyn 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
31 KEITH Michael 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
32 KOHLER Florian 100% 95% 54% 15% 2% -
33 HAMILTON Travis 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
34 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
35 KIM Remington 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
36 DINGMAN Nash 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
37 FU Adrian 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
38 REID Wesley 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
38 HERRON Jonathan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
40 COLLINS Kaden 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
41 WILLIAMS Timothy 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 14%
42 MINOTT Nicolas D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
43 CREASON Nicholas 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
44 BAUMAN Colin 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
45 DENG Destin 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
46 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
46 ITO WILSON Miles 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
48 RIDLEY Alan P. 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
49 ANDERSON Donald 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
50 CAMP Ryder 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
51 STOY Patrick 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
52 GALLIVAN James 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.