Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHI Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 37%
2 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
3 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
5 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
6 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 20%
7 CASTELO Soleil 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
8 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
9 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
10 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
11 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
12 BROWN Aria 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
13 AWAD Royce 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
14 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
15 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
16 WANG yining 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
17 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
18 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
19 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
20 SUVOROVA Anna 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
21 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23%
22 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
23 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
24 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
25 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
26 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
27 LI Sonia 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
28 FUNG Iris 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
29 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
30 LEE Kaitlin 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
31 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
32 PROBASCO Leila 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
33 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
34 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
35 SHMULER Fiona 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
36 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
37 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
38 NAYAK Antara 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
39 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
40 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
41 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
42 KWON Ava 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
43 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 6% 1%
44 ALAMI Amira 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
45 QIU Katherine 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
46 BAINS Nandini 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
47 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
48 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
49 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
49 VATS Ishita 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
51 REN Katherine 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
52 INSINGA Ava 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
53 MAK Kaitlin 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
54 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
55 KIM Audrey 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
55 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
57 FLATT Sophia 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
58 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
59 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
60 LAGOON Miriam 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
61 CHI Claire 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
62 BARNES Sarah 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
63 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3% -
64 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
65 CHAN Isla 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
66 HUANG Pierra 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
67 LIM Alexa J. 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
67 VALENCIA Sadie 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
69 LAFFY Lily 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
70 NG Sophia 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
71 GUHA Surabhi 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
72 NANDA Maanika 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
73 PARK Haylie 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
74 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
75 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
76 WONG Charlene 100% 79% 40% 13% 2% - -
76 GETZONI Mary 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.