Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
3 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
5 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
7 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
8 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
9 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
10 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
11 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
12 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
13 HOLLIS Sean 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
14 CHA James 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
15 LOZADA Gabriel G. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
16 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
17 SMITH Liam C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
18 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
19 CHUA Kirby 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
20 TAM Kyle 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
21 GRANADOS Luis 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
22 LIM Charlie 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
23 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
24 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 99% 83% 41% 8% -
25 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
26 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1%
27 PETINO Leonardo 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
28 XU Brian 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
29 LIN Lucas 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
30 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
31 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
32 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 96% 67% 28% 6% -
33 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
34 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
35 LAO Kevin 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
36 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 4%
37 TANG xianchi 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
38 BAI Austin 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 3%
39 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
40 BLEIL Tyler 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
41 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
42 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
43 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
44 AMRANI David 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
45 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 100% 92% 62% 19% 1%
45 FORTES PINA Adrian 100% 92% 53% 15% 2% -
47 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
48 AMEND Jake 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
49 LEUNG Jin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
50 VO Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
51 MCCALL Aidan 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
52 NICOLL William 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
53 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
54 MARTIRE Luca 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
55 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
56 LEVIN Jack 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
57 COSSROW Alex 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
58 KONDOR James 100% 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
59 PEREZ Logan 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
60 CHESSA Giovanni 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
61 ARANA Massimo 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 1%
62 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
63 HOWARD Fox 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
64 MCENTEE Owen 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
65 LAM Anthony 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
66 BRAWN Gavin 100% 74% 19% 2% - - -
67 GECKELER James 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
68 BENTLEY Nick 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
69 YEE Charles E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
70 QUAN Noah 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
71 BRENNAN Connor 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
72 SINCAVAGE Louis 100% 45% 6% - - - -
73 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
74 SHECKMAN Willow 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
75 ZHENG Austin 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
76 LEE Aeden 100% 34% 4% - - -
77 CRUZ ZURITA Leonardo 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
77 HOWARD Mekai 100% 11% - - - - -
79 MANLAPAZ Jan Vincent 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.