Tiger Open 2024

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Fike Recreation Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAMPBELL Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 LIU Hangda 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
3 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 13%
3 MILES Greyson 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 8%
5 HERNANDEZ Veronica L. 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
6 MCARTHUR Kemp 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
7 COUSINS Patrick 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 2%
8 MASON-DARNELL Zoe 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
9 HAN Nathan 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
10 SHULER Alden 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
11 WATERS Samantha M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
12 WELCH Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
13 RILEY Owen 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9% 1%
14 LEE Junehyuk 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16% -
15 BAIRD Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
16 COLLETTE Tobias 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
17 WANDEL Ethan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
18 HAZEL Susan L. 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
19 ARNOLD jacob 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
20 FLYNN Oliver 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
21 WOEHRMAN Madeline 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
22 HAYWOOD Madison 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
23 MCLAUGHLIN Carter 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
24 HUGHES Kayla 100% 94% 64% 23% 4% - -
25 SANDERS Andrew 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
26 OH Seonghun 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
27 SMITH Katherine E. 100% 100% 94% 66% 19% 1% -
28 KADRIC Max 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
29 BARRETT John 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
30 CARDINAL Elise 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
31 HOANG Ethan 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
32 PUTNAM Nicholas 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
33 SCOTT Ford 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
34 DAILEY John 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
35 LANDRY Calem 100% 99% 89% 51% 11% 1% -
36 LIONBERGER Gillian 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
37 BALL Jada 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
38 MARTIN Stella 100% 27% 3% - - - -
39 DEMPSEY-GANTENBEIN Ace 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
40 DZIELINSKI Sarah 100% 94% 56% 14% 1% - -
41 MCGOWAN Ana 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.