October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
5 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
7 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
8 HONG Rubin 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
9 LIM William J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
10 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
11 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
12 PAN Jerry 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
13 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
14 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
14 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
16 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
17 WANG Robert 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 46% 13%
18 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
19 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
20 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
21 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% 1%
22 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
22 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
24 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
25 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 5%
26 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
27 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
28 OH Triton 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
29 ANDREEV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
30 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
31 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
32 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
33 NOFAL Zeyad 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
34 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
35 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
36 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
36 WOODWARD Connor 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
38 VINCI Flavio 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
39 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
40 REN James 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
41 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
42 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
43 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
44 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
45 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
46 NORRIS Roman 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
47 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
48 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
49 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 4%
50 SAHAY Kenji 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
51 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
51 LEE Noah 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
53 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
54 XU William 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
54 YE Eric 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
56 NG Jonathan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
57 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
58 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
59 BERA Enzo 100% 96% 76% 36% 7% -
60 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
61 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
62 PAN Alex 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
63 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
64 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
65 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 71%
66 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
67 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
68 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
69 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
70 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
71 FELDMAN Drew 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
72 LIU Kevin 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
73 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
73 KOGAN Ben 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
75 SU Landon 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
76 WANG Daniel 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
77 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
78 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% -
79 BYON Julian 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
80 KOTOV Leonid 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
81 YAO JINTAO 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
82 BYON Adrian 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
83 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
84 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
85 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
85 YAN Kevin 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
87 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
88 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
89 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
90 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 12%
90 CHON Collin 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
92 FENG Leo 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
93 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
94 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
95 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
96 LIN Maxim 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
97 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
98 LIN Daniel 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
99 LI Howard 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
100 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
101 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
102 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
103 CHENIER Marc-Olivier 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
104 HU Chris 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
105 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
106 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
107 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
108 CHEN Samuel 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
109 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
109 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
111 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1% -
112 PATEL Rayn 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
113 TENG MATTHEW 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
114 CHUNG Connor 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% - -
115 BERKAY Deniz 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
116 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
117 JOO Jeein 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
118 YAO JINCHENG 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
119 ZHAO Lucas 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
120 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
121 YAN William 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
122 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
123 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
124 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
125 KIM ELIJAH 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
126 PI Alexander 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% -
127 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
128 NGO Maximus 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
129 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
130 HUANG Alex F. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
131 RAMANAN Govind 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
131 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
133 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
134 POFF Kainoa 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
135 CRAIG Samuel 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
136 CHEN Jonathan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
137 MICHELL Bailey 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
137 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
139 TAO Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
140 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
141 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
142 BAUER Hank E. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
143 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
144 STAMIS Kyle 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
145 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
146 KILARI Krish 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
147 TIAGI Daniel 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
148 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
149 MAY Griffin M. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
150 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
151 LIN Philip T. 100% 79% 39% 12% 2% - -
152 ZHEXUAN yu 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
153 KATZ Ryan 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
154 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 99% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
155 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
156 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
157 MATTOO Deven 100% 84% 48% 18% 4% - -
157 YANG Dylan 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
159 POWER Alex 100% 46% 11% 1% - - -
160 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
161 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
162 HAN William 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
163 VAID Luke 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
163 LU Xinzhen 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
165 MORALES Jonathan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
166 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
167 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
167 MALAITHONG Nathagorn 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
169 LIU Lawrence 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
170 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
171 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 89% 55% 17% 2% -
172 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
173 TSAO Oliver 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
174 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
175 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
176 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
177 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
178 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
179 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
180 ANDRES Michael 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
181 DECK Tyson 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
181 XU Ivan 100% 79% 25% 3% - - -
183 BRANDT Jaden 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
184 DALAL Rohan 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
185 STURN Oliver 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
186 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
187 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
188 WANG Jerry 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
189 KANG Evan 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - -
190 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
191 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
192 UEMOTO Ken 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
193 HOWELL Casper 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
194 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
195 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
196 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
196 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 1% -
198 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
198 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
200 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
201 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
202 JONES Graham H. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
203 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
204 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
205 MORREALE John 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
206 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
207 KIM Kendrick 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
208 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% 1%
209 FERNANDEZ Liam 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
210 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
210 WANG William 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
210 SOWERS Samuel 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
210 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
214 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
215 FLOT Tai A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
216 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
217 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
218 MATTOO Surya 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
219 GONG Jerry 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
219 KIM Theodore 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
221 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
222 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 4%
222 FOX Gavin 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
224 KO Zuriel 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
225 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
226 LINCOURT Arthur 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
226 DUNCAN Adlai 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
228 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
229 SUBA Lucas 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
230 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
231 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
232 LAUB William 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
233 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
233 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
235 HALL Noah 100% 71% 23% 4% - - -
236 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
237 BEITEL Noah 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
238 FANG Eason 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
239 WANG Max 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
240 ZHANG Derek 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
240 MANESCU Miron 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
240 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
243 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
244 ROE Finnegan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
244 LIN Felix 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
246 WANG Max 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
246 ZHOU Grant 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
248 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
249 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
249 ANAND Rohan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
249 HUA Michael 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
252 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
252 WANG Michael 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
254 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 41% 5% - - - -
255 LI Matthew 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.