Apex Novice Cup - October

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 HOLLANDER Max 100% 100% 100% 88% 25%
2 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
3 KHAIT Matvei 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
3 BAILEY Penelope 100% 87% 39% 6% -
5 BUTTGEREIT Easton 100% 87% 47% 11% 1%
6 HOIMES Eliana 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%
7 MCGAHAN Clayton 100% 84% 22% - -
8 WANG Miles 100% 92% 60% 18% 1%
9 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 98% 83% 45% 11%
10 WANG Zofia 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
11 KING Colton 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
12 KOVACS Emmett 100% 96% 69% 26% 2%
13 SOMAN Nabha 100% 95% 41% 7% -
14 DAVIDSON Micah 100% 100% 94% 65% 21%
15 LU Sophie 100% 96% 59% 13% 1%
16 PETERSON Jack 100% 100% 95% 59% 7%
17 XU Aaron 100% 98% 75% 33% 6%
18 KOVTUSHENKO Sofiia 100% 99% 85% 45% 9%
19 BUNCE Loukas 100% 89% 48% 9% 1%
20 MATRUNICK Natalie 100% 88% 53% 18% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.