Ben Gutenberg SYC - RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Adamantis - - - - 5% 31% 63%
2 YUEN Caleb - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
3 MIAO Heqi - 2% 12% 34% 41% 12%
3 SONG Aidan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
5 SLAVNOV Anton - 1% 5% 17% 32% 32% 13%
6 LEVY Daniel - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
7 HENDERSON Louis - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
8 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
9 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
10 LIANG Morgan 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
11 BEAL Colton - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
12 CHAVAN Aditya - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
13 CHEN Leo 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
14 KOZLOV Lucas - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
15 AGARWAAL Yohan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
16 PARK Sean 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
17 LIU Jeremy - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
18 KOREN David 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
19 LAU Kyrus - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
20 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
21 AVERY Marcus - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
22 CHANG Ethan - - 3% 17% 39% 36% 5%
23 HAO Johnny - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
24 MAKLIN David 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
25 BRADY Jack 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
26 KOREN George - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
27 SHAPIRO Leo - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
28 RINALDI Benigno 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3%
29 LI kevin 17% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
30 VIDREVICH David 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
31 TITOV Zachary - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
32 BADMUS David 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
33 YANG LOUIS 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
34 YI Andrew - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
35 WANG Harrison 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% - -
35 ALUF Brendon - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
37 CHEN Brian 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
38 ZALETAEV Jacob 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
39 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
40 LEIGH Brayden 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
41 SUN Stephen 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
42 HU Simon - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
43 MOTOV Max 3% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
44 DAI Ethan 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
45 LI Lucas 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
46 BURENKOV Matthew 4% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
47 IP Hunter - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
48 ZHANG Weihang 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
49 LAN Jasper 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
50 LEE Aiden 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
51 KELLY Collin 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
51 ROSE Parker 5% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
53 MAUREL Louis 7% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
54 LEE Shane Gunn 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
55 PARK Layne 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
56 LIU Caleb 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
57 WU Dylan 21% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
58 HUANG Lucas 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
59 MURDOCH Leo 2% 12% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
60 REINHART Rowan 1% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
61 LI Jayden 32% 42% 20% 5% - -
62 SABINO Bennett 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
63 CHEN Tyler 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
63 CHEN Ethan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
65 DALY Ryan 1% 14% 42% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.