Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Winston - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
2 YEE Colin - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
3 ZHANG Jayden - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 LEE Abin - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
5 YANG Tate - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
6 PARK Andrew - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
7 GUO Joey - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
8 WU Gengze (Daniel) - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
9 PARK William - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
10 XIE Yimo - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 5%
11 ZHANG Jason - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
12 ZHANG Andrew - 1% 12% 38% 37% 11%
13 DOUGLASS Liam - 1% 9% 32% 42% 17%
14 BHARDWAJ Ranbir 1% 6% 23% 38% 25% 6% -
15 YE Jerry - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
16 RAU Shogun - 4% 18% 36% 32% 11%
17 KIM Charlie 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
18 BHANOT Arjun - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
19 CHOI Andrew 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% < 1% -
20 MAO Runxian 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
21 YANG Steve - 7% 26% 37% 24% 6%
22 MURDOCK Koichi - 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
23 XU Ethan - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
24 ANDRADE Cedric 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
25 HUANG Nathan - 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
26 OH Kepler 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
27 ALCAZAREN Cian 5% 28% 41% 21% 5% - -
28 LEE Conrad 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
29 LO Ernest 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
30 SLAIN Owen - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
31 YUEN Landon - 3% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
32 DING Sam 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
33 LEONG Wilson Hua 4% 31% 43% 19% 3% -
34 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
35 HE Gary 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
36 LI Jake 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
37 WU Thomas - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
38 SHENOY sean 2% 20% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
39 PARK Avan - 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1%
40 GANAPATHI Eshan - 5% 21% 37% 29% 9%
41 WONG Connor 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
42 LEE Joshua 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
43 MASOOD Rohail - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
43 LIU Aiden 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
45 CHEN Ryker - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
46 LI Aaron 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
47 HO Cameron 5% 34% 42% 17% 3% -
48 KWONG Colin 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
49 CHEN Xiangyi 1% 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
50 FEDOR Lucian 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
51 CHEN Aiden 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% - -
52 SHANNON Matthew 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
53 MORENO Raul 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
54 NGUYEN Nolan 70% 26% 4% - - -
55 OZCAN Archer 10% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
56 SCHOR William 64% 31% 5% - - -
57 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
58 VIZCARRA Nate 71% 25% 3% - - - -
59 SCHAMP Eliot 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.