The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 CHEN Hanson - - - - 2% 23% 75%
3 SHENG Dalton - - - - 6% 42% 52%
3 HAN Alexander - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
5 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 4% 27% 69%
6 XU Nathan - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 22%
7 WU Macus - - - 3% 19% 52% 26%
8 MARTIRE Luca - 1% 7% 29% 49% 13% 1%
9 O'LEARY Colin - - 1% 10% 36% 47% 5%
10 HUYNH Matthew - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
11 HART-SYED declan - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
12 BAKSHI Aman - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
13 SICAT Justin - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
14 TOOMRE Kai - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
15 CHENG Logan - - - 1% 7% 37% 56%
16 BAI Austin - - 1% 7% 29% 48% 15%
17 SIU Max - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
18 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 8%
19 CHANG Parker - - 3% 17% 40% 35% 4%
20 YANG David H. - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
21 CZARNECKI Thomas - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
22 JIN Andy - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
23 KOVACS Harrison - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% 1%
24 KAYE Ben 5% 25% 40% 25% 5% - -
25 BEYDOUN Sam 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3% -
25 YOUM Tyson 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
27 TANG Michael 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
28 SALEH Ali - 3% 20% 39% 30% 8% -
29 BLACK Henry 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
30 GRUNENWALD Henri - 1% 13% 37% 37% 11%
31 CAO Joshua 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
32 ZHANG Ethan - 5% 23% 41% 27% 5% -
33 ZHANG Hanru - - - 4% 20% 45% 30%
34 REN Ryan - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
35 ZHANG Aaron - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
36 LEONG Samuel - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8% -
37 HU Daniel 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
38 HU Michael 1% 11% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
39 ULYSSE Jacob - 3% 26% 42% 24% 4%
40 SHAW eric - 4% 26% 42% 23% 4%
41 PERKINS Nathaniel 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
42 CHEN kenneth - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
43 QIAN Zekai - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
44 WANG Luke 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
45 KINGSLEY Griffin - 4% 24% 40% 26% 6% -
46 XIA Vincent - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
47 LI Andrew 8% 30% 40% 20% 3% - -
48 OH Joshua 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
49 KUO Phineas - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
50 MA Matthew - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
51 MANCHALA Vedu 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
52 GRIGORIEV Michael - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
53 ROPER Griffin 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
54 NOVIKOV Yann - 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% -
55 ZHENG Austin 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
56 WANG Joshua 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
57 ZHANG Julian - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% -
58 DAWSON Myer 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
59 GLICKSBERG Alexander 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
60 LIU Ryan 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
61 ZHANG Ethan 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
62 ZHANG Vincent J 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
63 ROTH Adam 17% 38% 32% 11% 2% - -
64 ZHONG Kingsley 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
65 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
66 SUN Andrew 46% 44% 9% 1% - -
67 CHENUTULA Abhinav 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
68 LEE Aeden 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
69 LIU Jeremy 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
70 CHAE Thomas Woojin 25% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -
71 SPERBER Miles 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
72 KAO Chris 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
73 MOON Nicolas 28% 51% 18% 3% - - -
74 CAI Max 32% 53% 14% 1% - -
75 MONDESIR Chace 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
75 ROTH Gavin 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
75 HUANG Marcus 45% 44% 10% 1% - - -
78 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
78 KOO Jaeha 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
80 JUVVADI Pratham 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
81 MU jason 16% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
82 PRICE Ezra 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.