The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 52%
3 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
5 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 XU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
7 WU Macus 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 26%
8 MARTIRE Luca 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 14% 1%
9 O'LEARY Colin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 5%
10 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
11 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
12 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
13 SICAT Justin 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
14 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
15 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 56%
16 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
17 SIU Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
18 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
19 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 4%
20 YANG David H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
21 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
22 JIN Andy 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
23 KOVACS Harrison 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8% 1%
24 KAYE Ben 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% - -
25 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
25 YOUM Tyson 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
27 TANG Michael 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
28 SALEH Ali 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% -
29 BLACK Henry 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
30 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 11%
31 CAO Joshua 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
32 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5% -
33 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
34 REN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
35 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
36 LEONG Samuel 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% -
37 HU Daniel 100% 97% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
38 HU Michael 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
39 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 70% 28% 4%
40 SHAW eric 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 4%
41 PERKINS Nathaniel 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
42 CHEN kenneth 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
43 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
44 WANG Luke 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
45 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
46 XIA Vincent 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
47 LI Andrew 100% 92% 63% 23% 3% - -
48 OH Joshua 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
49 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
50 MA Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
51 MANCHALA Vedu 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% -
52 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
53 ROPER Griffin 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
54 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% -
55 ZHENG Austin 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
56 WANG Joshua 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
57 ZHANG Julian 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% -
58 DAWSON Myer 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
59 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
60 LIU Ryan 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
61 ZHANG Ethan 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
62 ZHANG Vincent J 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
63 ROTH Adam 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
64 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
65 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
66 SUN Andrew 100% 54% 9% 1% - -
67 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
68 LEE Aeden 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
69 LIU Jeremy 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
70 CHAE Thomas Woojin 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
71 SPERBER Miles 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
72 KAO Chris 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
73 MOON Nicolas 100% 72% 21% 3% - - -
74 CAI Max 100% 68% 15% 1% - -
75 MONDESIR Chace 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
75 ROTH Gavin 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
75 HUANG Marcus 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
78 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
78 KOO Jaeha 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
80 JUVVADI Pratham 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
81 MU jason 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
82 PRICE Ezra 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.