Wildcat Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 1:00 PM

University of Arizona - North Rec - Tucson, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BALDWIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
2 KARAMAGA Ganza 100% 100% 100% 92% 57% 12%
3 LUNA Nathan 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
3 FOISSET Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 61% 19%
5 PERON Nicholas (Nick) A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
5 MANDEL Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
7 FISHER David 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
8 PITTMAN Stephen 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
9 SMITH Samuel J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
10 BINDER Ayven 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
11 SCHWENK Cody D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
12 DIMITROVA Tzvetelina 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
13 KUNKEL Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
14 ORELUP Austin 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
15 IRVING David 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
16 WOLCOTT Charlie A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
17 PYE Emily 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
18 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
19 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
20 HERRON Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
21 TROMBLEY Matthew 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
21 CHEN Lilianna 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 6% -
23 LUCKEY Michael 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
24 PABLO Jesse 100% 100% 99% 85% 41% 7%
25 DAVIS Julia 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
25 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
28 BEATY Trace 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
29 WELLING Cohen 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
30 HOWIE Ryan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
31 BRANDT Jacob 100% 99% 70% 13% 1% -
32 CUEVAS Tom 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
33 SANBORN Dimitri 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
34 PEDERSEN Haakon 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
35 FELDMAN Louis 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
36 CHEN Yuan 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
37 SHARP Alexander 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 2%
38 PERON Logan 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% - -
39 CONWAY Collin 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
40 JOHN Jennifer 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
41 BELTRAN Carissa 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
42 BARVICK Kathleen 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
43 EASTWOOD Darin 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
44 MARIKOS Christina 100% 26% 2% - - -
45 DUNCAN Nicholas 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
46 PAOLI Geovanna 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
47 KELLEHER Cash 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
48 WELLING Michael 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
49 HEWITT Christa 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
50 FAIR Elizabeth 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% -
51 CHEN Ngai Man 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
52 MAZZOLA Michael 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
53 ROLDAN Ethan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
53 NASR Arshia 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
55 WHITAKER Lauren 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
56 WELLS Mikaela 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.