The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Charlotte - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - 1% 6% 22% 40% 30%
3 GONG Joy - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 CHOWDHERY Myra - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
5 ZHAO Selena - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
6 ZHANG Ashley - - - - 4% 27% 68%
7 KIM Grace - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
8 MALUKI Nia - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
9 MULLER Inara - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
10 ZHENG Winona - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
11 KATZ Emma - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
12 WANG Keira - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
13 MAK Jayden - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
14 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
15 WANG Chloe 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
16 ZHANG Audrey - 1% 7% 23% 37% 25% 6%
17 LAU Angela 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
18 JOHN Sophia - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
19 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
20 SMITH Genevieve 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
21 KONDE Anika 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
22 PASSMAN Caroline 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
23 CHEN Chloe 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
24 DEMRY Kylee 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
25 FONG Zoe 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
26 GU Allison 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
27 DANIELS Jordanna - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
28 MOFFITT Charlotte 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
29 MAGITSKY Giadora 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
30 KARAVAS Lucy 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
31 CANARAN Daphne M. 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
32 KETT alexis 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
33 MENON Maya 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
34 TSIPORUKHA Arie - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
35 TOM Danielle 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
36 YOUNG Sienna - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
37 YAP Anna 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
38 ILICHEVA Adriana 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
39 FREY Elise 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
39 WU Abigail - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
41 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
42 KABILING Anika Von Marie 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
43 WILLER Anna 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
44 BINSHTOK Ariana 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
45 MADDISON Estelle 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
46 GROSSMAN Ann - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
47 GERALDINO Sofia 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
48 RIFKIN Talia 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
49 LIAO Audrey 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
50 CHANG Grace 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
51 PARAISO Isabella 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
52 KRITZ Sofia 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
53 POTDAR Harper 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
54 WU Jing 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
55 NEVELING Felicitas 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.