The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30%
3 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
5 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
6 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
7 KIM Grace 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
8 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 2%
9 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
10 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
11 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
12 WANG Keira 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
13 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
14 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
15 WANG Chloe 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 3% -
16 ZHANG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
17 LAU Angela 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
18 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
19 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11% 1%
20 SMITH Genevieve 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
21 KONDE Anika 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
22 PASSMAN Caroline 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
23 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
24 DEMRY Kylee 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
25 FONG Zoe 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
26 GU Allison 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
27 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
28 MOFFITT Charlotte 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
29 MAGITSKY Giadora 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
30 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
31 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 94% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
32 KETT alexis 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 5% -
33 MENON Maya 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
34 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 1%
35 TOM Danielle 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
36 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
37 YAP Anna 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
38 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
39 FREY Elise 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
39 WU Abigail 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
41 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
42 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
43 WILLER Anna 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
44 BINSHTOK Ariana 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
45 MADDISON Estelle 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
46 GROSSMAN Ann 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
47 GERALDINO Sofia 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
48 RIFKIN Talia 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
49 LIAO Audrey 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
50 CHANG Grace 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
51 PARAISO Isabella 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
52 KRITZ Sofia 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
53 POTDAR Harper 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
54 WU Jing 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
55 NEVELING Felicitas 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.