Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HENDERSON James C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 77%
2 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
3 LIN Felix 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 16%
3 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
5 PARCELL Colby 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
6 XU Ivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 40% 2%
7 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 24%
8 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
9 BENE Andrew 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
10 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 20%
11 GOLART Dylan 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
12 BENE Paul 100% 70% 16% 1% - -
13 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% 1%
14 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
15 GOSNELL James 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 26% 1%
16 SU Ji 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% 1%
17 LE TAN 100% 100% 90% 60% 23% 4%
18 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
19 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 99% 85% 32% 4% -
20 BAIN Tiernan 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 6% -
21 FANG Elena 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% -
22 FOREST Sung 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
23 FANG Darcy 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
24 RACHAPROLU DIVYAGNYAAN Siddartha 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% -
25 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
26 LESTYAN Cat 100% 79% 29% 5% - - -
26 WANG Ziyao 100% 99% 88% 21% 2% - -
28 CHON-BAKER Hayden 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
29 URIBE David 100% 99% 82% 24% 3% - -
30 LAWLESS Elizabeth 100% 89% 40% 8% 1% - -
31 RUDMIN Peter 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
32 FIGLOZZI Cordelia 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
33 WALLACE Leo 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
34 BORGESON Abigail 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
35 SILK Ryan 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
36 HUANG Anni 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
37 ZHOU Deborah 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
38 HILLEARY Mike 100% 98% 78% 36% 6% -
39 KEESEE Devon 100% 50% 9% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.