Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 11%
2 LEE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
3 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
3 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
5 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
6 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
7 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 11%
8 ZIMSKY James 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
9 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
10 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
11 KELLEY Cullan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
12 IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
13 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
14 HOPSON Ethan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
15 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
16 BOLTON Max 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
17 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
18 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 94% 64% 24% 3%
19 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
20 SIMPSON Gavin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
21 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1% -
22 LEE Hans 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
23 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 9%
24 TANG Justin 100% 100% 88% 39% 8% 1% -
25 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
26 BRUTON Vinton 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
27 INGLE Kate 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1% -
28 WHITE Myles 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
29 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
30 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
31 FISHER Edward 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
32 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
33 ALLEN Lily 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
34 PISTONE Leah 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
35 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
36 KONTANIS Linus 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
37 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
38 CONRAD Matthew 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
39 PARKER Joseph 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
39 JONES Zamauri 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
41 CLICK Joe 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3% -
42 CRISPIN Haley 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
43 FIGLOZZI Cordelia 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
44 MITCHELL Robert 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
45 AKKALE Reyhan 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
46 BLUHM Kyle 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
47 BOND Gabriel 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.