Manhattan Fencing Center Foil Liberty Cup

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 3:30 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
2 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
3 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
5 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
6 YANG David H. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
7 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
8 FEDER ACADIA 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 19% 3%
9 KO Darby 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
10 LI Madison 100% 100% 84% 47% 14% 1%
11 ZUCKER Collin 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
12 ZHANG Julian 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
13 MAIA ZUCKERMAN Julia 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
14 GRASSIE James 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
15 COLE Sofia 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
16 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
17 RICHELSON Alice 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
18 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
19 LIN Justin 100% 98% 78% 31% 4% -
20 BAULIN Zoya 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
21 KASPER Lucia 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11% -
22 KELLER JohnChristopher 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
23 WILLIAMS Aaron 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
23 WILLIAMS John 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
25 GAO Henry 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
26 MANLAPAZ Jan Vincent 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
27 STEWART Isla 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.