Lotus Cup ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Myrtle Beach Sports Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	PARK Lina	-	-	-	-	3%	25%	71%
2	SHMUKLER Maria	-	-	-	-	2%	24%	74%
3	VIJAYAKUMAR Diya	-	-	-	2%	15%	42%	40%
3	HAFEZ Tahiyah	-	-	-	1%	7%	35%	58%
5	DONG Emily	-	-	5%	26%	49%	20%
6	LEE Jeemin	-	-	2%	12%	34%	42%	11%
7	PINEDA jade luna	-	-	2%	16%	49%	33%
8	PARK Zena	-	-	1%	11%	42%	46%
9	OWENS Elise	-	-	2%	14%	47%	38%
10	MOORE Addisyn	-	-	1%	10%	35%	46%	8%
11	IQBAL Mariam	-	1%	7%	25%	40%	24%	3%
12	KUTATELADZE Anna	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%	-
13	CHOI Jordan	3%	16%	34%	32%	13%	2%	-
14	ARMSTRONG Olivia	-	-	3%	16%	36%	35%	10%
15	MEITZEN Havah	-	2%	10%	32%	41%	15%	1%
16	RIEGERT-JOHNSON Simone	-	1%	8%	28%	40%	21%	2%
17	KATS Ekaterina	-	1%	8%	28%	40%	20%	3%
18	ROTHMAN Rebecca	4%	22%	40%	27%	5%	-
19	KIM Sophia	1%	15%	37%	33%	12%	2%	-
20	LIU Joanna	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
20	BALIN Julia	1%	17%	38%	31%	11%	1%	-
22	BLANKS Campbell	5%	34%	41%	17%	2%	-
23	FERRONE Gianna	1%	13%	37%	36%	11%	1%
24	SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn	24%	43%	26%	6%	-	-
25	HAILU Raena	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%	-
26	VENZON Makena Jane	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%	-
27	SHARAIEVSKA Mariia	22%	44%	28%	6%	1%	-	-
28	PHAN Logan	13%	41%	34%	11%	1%	-	-
29	TAN Isabella	2%	20%	42%	29%	6%	-
30	LEE Katelyn	4%	19%	36%	30%	10%	1%	-
31	IBRAHIM Yara	1%	13%	34%	35%	15%	2%	-
32	CHENG Emma	17%	43%	31%	8%	1%	-
33	MILLER Vai	14%	35%	34%	14%	3%	-	-
34	LUEKEN Adelina	62%	32%	6%	-	-	-
35	CARDINAL Elise	4%	22%	41%	27%	5%	-
36	WANG hannah	27%	43%	24%	5%	1%	-	-
37	BRUCE Sevi	< 1%	16%	46%	32%	6%	-	-
38	JOSEPH Rachel	16%	37%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
38	BRUCE Lana	1%	17%	39%	31%	10%	1%	-
40	CHEN Mikayla	76%	21%	2%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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