March NAC

Div III Men's Saber

Sunday, March 3, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Cleveland, OH - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
2 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
3 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
3 CHEN Oscar 100% 100% 97% 72% 32% 8% 1%
5 OWENS William 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
6 STONE Jack V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
7 YANG Richard 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
8 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
9 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
10 WUN William 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
11 LIU David J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
12 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% 1%
13 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
14 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
15 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
16 CHAN Daniel 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 1%
17 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
18 MENG Xiang 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
19 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
20 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
20 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
22 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
22 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
24 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
25 BRUSIE Christopher R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
26 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
27 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
28 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 18%
29 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
30 PARK Collin D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
31 GOODWIN Keith D. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
32 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
33 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% < 1%
34 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
35 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
36 ATEFI Daniel 100% 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
37 CARLISLE Austin M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
38 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
39 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
40 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
40 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
42 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
43 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 9%
44 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
45 FRANKEL Yitzchok A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
45 KEEFE Duncan 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
48 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35%
49 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
49 XU William 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
51 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
52 TANN Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
53 CHEN Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
54 DU Gavin J. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
55 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
56 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
57 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
57 LIU kelly 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
59 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
60 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
61 BONSELL Vance 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% 1% -
62 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
63 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
64 LUCZKOW Arman 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
65 PINTO Gabriel R. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
66 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
67 GOLD Jackson 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
68 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
69 PREJEAN Patrick J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
70 LEE Conner M. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
71 CARTER Jackson 100% 100% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
72 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
73 BERUBE Jesse L. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
74 ELIN Adam E. 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
75 NARANJO David E. 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
76 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
77 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
78 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 96% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
79 LI Joshua L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
80 SAMMI Mukund 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
81 ZHOU Miles 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
82 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
83 COX Luis E. 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
84 ALKIN Isaac 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
85 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
85 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
87 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
88 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
89 PLAGA Quinn 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
90 LU Caleb Q. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
91 GARCIA Ryan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
92 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
93 SMITH Vaughn 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
94 NEVILLE James 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
95 ROPER Evan C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
96 PLONKA Derek 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
97 PEARSON James G. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
98 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
99 LU Jiayi (Charlie) 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9% -
100 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
101 BULL Anderson 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
102 TREFNEY Albert 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
102 LU Evan 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
104 FOX Nicholas 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
104 SHASHA zane 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
106 KARPINSKI Michael A. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
107 RYAN Will 100% 79% 21% 2% - - -
108 TIERNO Thomas J. 100% 99% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
109 BURNS Jackson P. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
109 WANG Andy 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
111 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
114 ADHIKARI Anubhav 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
115 TIMMINS Daniel R. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
116 WONG Ethan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
117 LEUNG Nathan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
118 STEVENS Jeffrey 100% 80% 34% 6% - -
119 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
119 NIELANDER Elliot S. 100% 89% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
121 HODGES Calvin 100% 84% 35% 7% 1% - -
122 HAYES Tyler 100% 17% 1% - - - -
123 COOK Aidan J. 100% 36% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.