NJFA Fall Classic RYC & Non-Regional Junior and D1A

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 MOSTOVOY Philip - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
3 SONG Aidan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
3 KATS Brandon - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
5 CHEN Tianjun - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
6 ZHENG Jason - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 WU Matthew - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 3%
8 WHITE Jackson - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
9 FRIZZELL Kai - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
10 TOPRANI Valmik - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
11 ARMSTRONG Payson - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
12 CHO Adrian 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
13 CHIANG William - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
14 BHANDARE Veer 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
15 SHAO Mason 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
16 QI Bryan 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
17 DAI Jason 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
18 LEE Harrison - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
19 BURDICK Elijah 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
20 YAKHNIS Seth - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
21 HONG Ethen 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
22 DING Charlie 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8%
23 SHAPIRO Samuel - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
24 CHEN Jayden A 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
25 CHEN Regis 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
26 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
27 RUDIGER George 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
28 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
29 GUJJA Rishabh - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
30 DAND Zahin 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
31 LAI Jayden 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
32 YU George 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
33 DIMOV Daniel - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
34 THOMAS Andrew 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
35 ZHENG Jasper 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
36 NOOL Aaron - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
37 KUYKENDALL Logan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
38 O'BRIEN Michael - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
39 YOU Emmanuel 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
40 LI Jayden - 5% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
41 KIM Brendan 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
42 SON Isaac 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
43 ZHEN Maxwell 13% 41% 33% 11% 1% -
44 WAGNER Miles 38% 41% 17% 3% - -
44 LAI Jaxon 26% 41% 25% 8% 1% -
46 KUYKENDALL Lucas 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
47 KESELMAN Ron 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
48 HWANG Christopher 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
49 MINTON Tristan 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
50 CHEN Benjamin 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
51 ROFINO Samuel 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
52 CAVALLARO Sebastian 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
53 QUAN William 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
54 CHEN Hayden 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
55 YAO Irvine 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
56 ZHANG Jacob 45% 41% 12% 2% - -
57 SHKOP Alexander < 1% 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
58 WHITE Leonardo 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.