NJFA Fall Classic RYC & Non-Regional Junior and D1A

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 MOSTOVOY Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
3 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
5 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
6 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
7 WU Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
8 WHITE Jackson 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
9 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
10 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
11 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
12 CHO Adrian 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
13 CHIANG William 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
14 BHANDARE Veer 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
15 SHAO Mason 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2%
16 QI Bryan 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
17 DAI Jason 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
18 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
19 BURDICK Elijah 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
20 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
21 HONG Ethen 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
22 DING Charlie 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
23 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
24 CHEN Jayden A 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
25 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
26 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
27 RUDIGER George 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
28 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
29 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
30 DAND Zahin 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
31 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
32 YU George 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
33 DIMOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
34 THOMAS Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
35 ZHENG Jasper 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
36 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
37 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
38 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
39 YOU Emmanuel 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
40 LI Jayden 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
41 KIM Brendan 100% 94% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
42 SON Isaac 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
43 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 87% 45% 12% 1% -
44 WAGNER Miles 100% 62% 20% 4% - -
44 LAI Jaxon 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
46 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
47 KESELMAN Ron 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
48 HWANG Christopher 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
49 MINTON Tristan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
50 CHEN Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
51 ROFINO Samuel 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
52 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
53 QUAN William 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
54 CHEN Hayden 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
55 YAO Irvine 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1%
56 ZHANG Jacob 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
57 SHKOP Alexander 100% 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
58 WHITE Leonardo 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.