NJFA Fall Classic RYC & Non-Regional Junior and D1A

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 24, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 LI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
3 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
5 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
6 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 37%
7 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
8 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
9 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
10 NG Nico 100% 100% 91% 59% 18%
11 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 22%
12 MOSTOVOY Philip 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
13 HE Bronto 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
14 THOMAS Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
15 WU Matthew 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
16 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 100% 91% 57% 16%
17 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
18 KATS Brandon 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
19 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 9%
20 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
21 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
22 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
23 CHEN Tianjun 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
24 BHANDARE Veer 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
25 DYCKMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 3%
26 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11% 1%
27 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 92% 61% 18%
28 CHO Adrian 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
29 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
30 MA Brendon 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
31 WANG Marcus 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
32 MELUCCI Jonathan 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
33 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
34 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
35 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
36 YU George 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
37 CHIANG William 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
38 NOOL Aaron 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
39 MAZEL Antonin 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
40 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6%
41 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
42 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
43 YU David 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9% 1%
44 HEMPHILL Kurt 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
45 ZHENG Jason 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
46 HANNA Alexander 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
47 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
48 AU Joshua 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
49 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
50 CIANCHETTA David 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% -
51 NABI Mikhail 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
52 YU Kenneth 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
53 WITHERELL Logan 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
54 LIU Jeremy 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
55 LAI Jayden 100% 90% 49% 13% 1%
56 WELCH Sebastian 100% 39% 6% - -
57 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
58 HONG Ethen 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
59 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
60 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
61 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
62 LEE Ryan 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
63 PREVOST Landon 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
64 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
65 MCGANN Grant 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
66 GRANT Aidan 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
67 QI Bryan 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
68 DAI Jason 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 2% -
69 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
70 LIN Qianzhong 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
71 CHEN Jayden A 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
72 SHAO Mason 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
72 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
74 HUEMMER James 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
75 GAO Ryan 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
76 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
77 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.